This entry was posted on Monday, August 20th, 2007 at 1:14 pm and is filed under Health Alert, Minimum Wage. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
It's the August recess for members of Congress. So everyone's life, liberty and property is temporarily safe.
Well, almost everybody. Before they left town, this largely do-nothing Congress did one very bad thing. They hiked the minimum wage from $5.15 an hour to $7.25 an hour as of July, 2009. The 7 million or so workers who are affected by this change potentially face a double whammy: loss of a job, loss of health insurance or both!
Anyone who has taken Economics 101 knows that price floors cause surpluses. In the labor market, we call that unemployment. Moreover, those who get priced out of the market are the least skilled. Except for a few poorly designed studies, most economists come down on the side of common sense. If a worker can produce only $5.15 of goods and services an hour, no employer is going to pay him $7.25.
When I was young, teenagers ushered people to seats in theaters, pumped gas, washed cars, waited tables, and actually helped customers find things in stores. Today, we have floor lights, self-serve pumps, automatic washes, fast food, self-serve stores and a teenage unemployment rate – especially a black teenage unemployment rate – that is many multiples of what it once was. We also have one in every four young black males somehow involved in the criminal justice system.
[By the way, a fascinating area of inquiry for some enterprising soul is the relationship between the Democratic party and the economics profession. Democrats, during the Kennedy administration, brought Keynesian economics (at that time it was mainstream economics) to Washington. And President Kennedy was well aware of the benefits of free trade and the concept behind the Laffer curve. Yet today's Democrats (at least the ones who get on national TV) seem to have no understanding of economics on issues ranging from the minimum wage to Social Security to gasoline prices to international trade. Paul Krugman wraps many of these conundrums into a single persona. Even though he is a well-respected economist, his highly partisan columns in the New York Times - especially on the minimum wage and Social Security - are indistinguishable from the opinions of an economic illiterate.]
Anyway, labor compensation comes in two parts: cash wages and fringe benefits (the most important of which is health insurance). Most minimum wage laws set a floor on cash wages and leave benefits to be determined in the market. Not surprisingly, studies show that among workers who retain their jobs, employers reduce benefits dollar-for-dollar with the increase in the cash wage. Independent of the effects on the worker, this result is socially bad.
No one knows how many minimum wage workers (or more precisely, how many workers within $2.10 of the previous minimum) have health insurance acquired through their employers. At least I don't think anyone knows. But we must be talking about hundreds of thousands. Health insurance for every one of them is at risk.
Why would politicians want to tell people that if they can't produce $7.25 an hour they can't work? Why would politicians want to tell people that if they can produce only $7.25 an hour they have to take all their compensation in cash and none in health insurance?
I don't know the answer to these questions. But on the assumption that Congress was not just throwing a mean-spirited sop to the labor unions and really wants to help low-wage workers, I have three proposals everyone should like – liberals and conservatives, Democrats and Republicans, altruists and curmudgeons – one and all:
Also, many states and cities have minimum wage laws – often several dollars higher than the federal law (San Francisco's is $9.14 an hour). The above options should apply to the state and local level as well.
This is my last Health Alert until September, at which time Congress will return and (as reported in a previous Alert) will resume its efforts to deprive little children of their private insurance.
Have a great Labor Day weekend.
For an NCPA Brief Analysis, "Saving Health Insurance From the Minimum Wage," see http://www.ncpa.org/pub/ba/ba565/.
August 20th, 2007 at 8:17 pm
The negative relationship between higher minimum wage levels and lower rates of health insurance is well-established. See Baker's paper, for example:
http://gateway.nlm.nih.gov/MeetingAbstracts/102275338.html.
Yet the reverse relation between health insurance coverage and overall income level is much more strongly established. So a rise in income at the lowest end of the pay scale hurts health insurance coverage for an already small percentage of the numbers who benefit from the pay increase. You claim that we do not know the absolute numbers – but we do know that this group has the smallest percentage coverage. Still I do agree that relief for employers who provide health insurance is a useful addendum to this increase in the minimum wage.
August 21st, 2007 at 10:12 am
good clear thinking……as usual.
August 21st, 2007 at 12:40 pm
A fascinating assessment.
August 25th, 2007 at 8:11 pm
One thing that’s happening is that the minimum wage forces the total compensation mix to move from untaxed to taxed. Wages are subject to Social Security and Medicare taxes. Benefits are not. So, for each $1.00 spent by the employer on health insurance, the employee receives $1.00 worth of health insurance. For every $1.00 spent by the employer on wages, the employee receives approximately 85 cents and the government receives 15 cents. (I’m ignoring the SS tax cap, since we’re talking about minimum wage workers.)
September 22nd, 2008 at 4:33 am
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